Analysis

GBPCAD 1.8826 ↓0.22%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 14, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.8868 · High 1.8869 · Low 1.8815 · Close 1.8826 · Range (high − low) 0.00539
GBPCAD closed at 1.8826, down 0.004165 (-0.22%) from 1.8868.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 23.0% to Bear Extreme at -75.7%, down 98.7 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.88571.88761.88681.8826
Energy-16.4%32.4%23.0%-75.7%
Price change↓ 0.02%↑ 0.10%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.22%
Energy change↓ 13.6↑ 48.8↓ 9.4↓ 98.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.02%↑ 0.10%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.22%↓ 13.6↑ 48.8↓ 9.4↓ 98.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.22% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 98.7 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPCAD 4H

Sample: 325 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 9 times

▸When GBPCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPCAD moved to higher Market State: 9 times — 100%
  • then GBPCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current GBPCAD market energy: -75.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.18%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.32%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPCAD · H4 · 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPCAD chart →
Market Energy
23.0%
Bull Bias
-75.7%
Bear Extreme
-71.1%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, GBPCAD noted at the Bear Extreme level.

Market trend energy A -98.7% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -75.7% (previous: 23%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCAD Market Energy ranged from -75.7 to 72.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 13-10-2026, GBPCAD was at 1.8826, down 0.22% from the previous candle (1.8868). Market Energy was -75.7%, down 98.7 points from 23%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCAD closed at 1.8826, down 0.22% from the previous 4H candle (1.8868). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD, across 305 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 98.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 23% to -75.7%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD.

Do GBPCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCAD at 23%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, GBPCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does GBPCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.7%, GBPCAD is 1.18 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.32 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 13.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -44.6%. Against this backdrop, GBPCAD (Bear Extreme, -75.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -44.5%. GBPCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCAD on the GBPCAD overview →

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