Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPCAD from 1.8867 to 1.8846, down 0.11%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 86.3% to Bull Critical 66.1%, down 20.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.27%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.11%
Energy▲ 61.6▲ 8.8▼ 11.2▼ 20.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.27%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.11%▲ 61.6▲ 8.8▼ 11.2▼ 20.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.2 pts — higher than 75% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPCAD 4H

Sample: 270 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 11 times

▸When GBPCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPCAD moved to higher Market State: 3 times — 27.3%
  • then GBPCAD moved to lower Market State: 8 times — 72.7%

▸Current GBPCAD market energy: 66.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.42%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.08%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

GBPCAD · H4 · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPCAD chart →
Market Energy
86.3%
Bull Extreme
66.1%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, GBPCAD in the Bull Critical zone.

The market energy reading Market Energy reading dropped -20.2%, moving from 86.3% to 66.1% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCAD Market Energy ranged from -98.9 to +97.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, GBPCAD was at 1.8846, down 0.11% from the previous candle (1.8867). Market Energy was 66.1%, down 20.2 points from 86.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCAD closed at 1.8846, down 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (1.8867). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD, across 271 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 86.3% to 66.1%. This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD.

Do GBPCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCAD at 86.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does GBPCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.1%, GBPCAD is 8.42 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.08 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.4%. Against this backdrop, GBPCAD (Bull Critical, 66.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 84.9%. GBPCAD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCAD on the GBPCAD overview →

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