Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPCAD from 1.8778 to 1.8794, up 0.09%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.8% to Bull Critical 71.5%, down 7.3 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.04%▲ 0.23%▼ 0.02%▲ 0.09%
Energy▼ 1.7▲ 18.3▲ 0.8▼ 7.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.04%▲ 0.23%▼ 0.02%▲ 0.09%▼ 1.7▲ 18.3▲ 0.8▼ 7.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.09% — higher than 66% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.3 pts — higher than 38% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPCAD 4H

Sample: 244 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 9 times

▸When GBPCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPCAD moved to higher Market State: 2 times — 22.2%
  • then GBPCAD moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 77.8%

▸Current GBPCAD market energy: 71.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.54%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

GBPCAD · H4 · 2026-09-28 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
78.8%
Bull Extreme
71.5%
Bull Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

GBPCAD processing result: the near-peak Bull energy level after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy measurement The energy level dropped -7.3%: from 78.8% now at 71.5%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCAD Market Energy ranged from -95.8 to +90.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, GBPCAD was at 1.8794, up 0.09% from the previous candle (1.8778). Market Energy was 71.5%, down 7.3 points from 78.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCAD closed at 1.8794, up 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (1.8778). This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD, across 246 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78.8% to 71.5%. This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD.

Do GBPCAD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCAD at 78.8%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does GBPCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.5%, GBPCAD is 2.96 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.54 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 46.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.3%. Against this backdrop, GBPCAD (Bull Critical, 71.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.7%. GBPCAD energy is currently above DXY by 50.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCAD on the GBPCAD overview →

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