Analysis

·

Price and energy
GBPCAD from 1.8779 to 1.8772, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Critical -73.4% to Bear Critical -74.3%, down 0.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.15%0.06%0.04%
Energy2.124.116.70.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.15% 0.06% 0.04% 2.1 24.1 16.7 0.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.9 pts — higher than 4% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPCAD 4H

Sample: 181 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 5 times

When GBPCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPCAD moved to higher Market State: 5 times100%
  • then GBPCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPCAD market energy: -74.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.2%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

GBPCAD · H4 · 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPCAD chart →
Market Energy
-73.4%
Bear Critical
-74.3%
Bear Critical
-69.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, GBPCAD in the Bear Critical zone.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -0.9% this candle, currently -74.3% (previous candle -73.4%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCAD Market Energy ranged from -74.3 to -23.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 01-09-2026 closed, GBPCAD was at 1.8772, down 0.04% from the previous candle (1.8779). Market Energy was -74.3%, down 0.9 points from -73.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCAD closed at 1.8772, down 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (1.8779). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD, across 145 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -73.4% to -74.3%. This drop is larger than 4% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCAD.

Do GBPCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCAD at -73.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.3%, GBPCAD is 14.3 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.2 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -14.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96.9%. Against this backdrop, GBPCAD (Bear Critical, -74.3%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -78%. GBPCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCAD on the GBPCAD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .