Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPCAD from 1.8829 to 1.8806, down 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Bias -55.7% to Bear Critical -70.2%, down 14.5 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 75% of past drops
Energy down 14.5 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.030.050.110.1210.16.617.114.5-3-2-1nến này
GBPCAD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPCAD 4H

Sample: 141 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3 times

When GBPCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPCAD moved to higher Market State: 3 times100%
  • then GBPCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPCAD market energy: -70.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.17%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.33%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

GBPCAD · H4 · 2026-08-07 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-55.7%
Bear Bias
-70.2%
Bear Critical
-69.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical state is the result just recorded for GBPCAD after the 4H candle closed.

The GBPCAD market at session end, Market Energy reading dropped -14.5%, moving from -55.7% to -70.2% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCAD Market Energy ranged from -70.2 to +70.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was GBPCAD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 07-08-2026 closed, GBPCAD was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -70.2%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did GBPCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -55.7% to -70.2%.

What state was GBPCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCAD at -55.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GBPCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does GBPCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.2%, GBPCAD is 10.17 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.33 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 58.8%. Against this backdrop, GBPCAD (Bear Critical, -70.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -86.8%. GBPCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCAD on the GBPCAD overview →

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