Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPAUD from 1.9079 to 1.9044, down 0.18%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.5% to Bear Bias -33.9%, down 115.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.09%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.15%▼ 0.18%
Energy▲ 1.9▼ 2.4▼ 13.0▼ 115.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.09%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.15%▼ 0.18%▲ 1.9▼ 2.4▼ 13.0▼ 115.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.18% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 115.4 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GBPAUD 4H

Sample: 296 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 28 times

▸When GBPAUD is in Bear Bias:

  • then GBPAUD moved to higher Market State: 18 times — 64.3%
  • then GBPAUD moved to lower Market State: 10 times — 35.7%

▸Current GBPAUD market energy: -33.89%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 26.11%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

GBPAUD · H4 · 2026-10-01 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPAUD chart →
Market Energy
81.5%
Bull Extreme
-33.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded GBPAUD in trend energy leaning Bear after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy measurement The energy level dropped -115.4%: from 81.5% now at -33.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPAUD Market Energy ranged from -33.9 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPAUD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, GBPAUD was at 1.9044, down 0.18% from the previous candle (1.9079). Market Energy was -33.9%, down 115.4 points from 81.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GBPAUD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPAUD closed at 1.9044, down 0.18% from the previous 4H candle (1.9079). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD, across 299 candles since 2019.

How did GBPAUD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 115.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.5% to -33.9%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD on record since 2019.

Do GBPAUD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPAUD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPAUD at 81.5%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPAUD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does GBPAUD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -33.9%, GBPAUD is 13.01 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 26.11 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 96.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -6.1%. Against this backdrop, GBPAUD (Bear Bias, -33.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.8%. GBPAUD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPAUD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPAUD on the GBPAUD overview →

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