Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPAUD from 1.8764 to 1.8758, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Bias -51.5% to Bear Critical -70.3%, down 18.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.12%0.07%0.03%
Energy2.621.28.118.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.12% 0.07% 0.03% 2.6 21.2 8.1 18.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 27% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 18.9 pts — higher than 70% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPAUD 4H

Sample: 222 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 8 times

When GBPAUD is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPAUD moved to higher Market State: 6 times75%
  • then GBPAUD moved to lower Market State: 2 times25%

Current GBPAUD market energy: -70.33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.17%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

GBPAUD · H4 · 2026-09-06 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-51.5%
Bear Bias
-70.3%
Bear Critical
-56.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, GBPAUD shows the Bear Critical zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy at -70.3%, down -18.9% from -51.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPAUD Market Energy ranged from -75.8 to +33.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPAUD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 07-09-2026 closed, GBPAUD was at 1.8758, down 0.03% from the previous candle (1.8764). Market Energy was -70.3%, down 18.9 points from -51.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPAUD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPAUD closed at 1.8758, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (1.8764). This drop is larger than 27% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD, across 190 candles since 2019.

How did GBPAUD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 18.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -51.5% to -70.3%. This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD.

Do GBPAUD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPAUD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPAUD at -51.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GBPAUD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does GBPAUD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.3%, GBPAUD is 10.33 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.17 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -0.5%. Against this backdrop, GBPAUD (Bear Critical, -70.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 14%. GBPAUD energy is currently below DXY by 84.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPAUD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPAUD on the GBPAUD overview →

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