Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPAUD from 1.8798 to 1.8763, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Critical -63.4% to Bear Extreme -75.8%, down 12.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.01%0.14%0.19%
Energy5.97.53.812.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.01% 0.14% 0.19% 5.9 7.5 3.8 12.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.4 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPAUD 4H

Sample: 209 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2 times

When GBPAUD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPAUD moved to higher Market State: 2 times100%
  • then GBPAUD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPAUD market energy: -75.85%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.35%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.15%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPAUD · H4 · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-63.4%
Bear Critical
-75.8%
Bear Extreme
-51.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, GBPAUD in the Bear Extreme level.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy reading dropped -12.4%, moving from -63.4% to -75.8% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPAUD Market Energy ranged from -75.8 to +50.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPAUD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, GBPAUD was at 1.8763, down 0.19% from the previous candle (1.8798). Market Energy was -75.8%, down 12.4 points from -63.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPAUD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPAUD closed at 1.8763, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (1.8798). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD, across 181 candles since 2019.

How did GBPAUD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -63.4% to -75.8%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD.

Do GBPAUD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPAUD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPAUD at -63.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, GBPAUD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does GBPAUD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.8%, GBPAUD is 1.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.15 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.3%. Against this backdrop, GBPAUD (Bear Extreme, -75.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -68.7%. GBPAUD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPAUD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPAUD on the GBPAUD overview →

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