Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPAUD from 1.911 to 1.9115, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Bias -31.2% to Bear Bias -23.0%, up 8.2 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 25% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.2 pts — higher than 42% of past rises
Trend & volatility · last 4 candles
0.21% 0.06% 0.01% 0.02% 47.1 5.9 6.9 8.2
priceenergy up · down
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GBPAUD 4H

Sample: 160 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 16 times

When GBPAUD is in Bear Bias:

  • then GBPAUD moved to higher Market State: 12 times75%
  • then GBPAUD moved to lower Market State: 4 times25%

Current GBPAUD market energy: -22.98%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 2.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.02%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GBPAUD · H4 · 2026-08-12 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-31.2%
Bear Bias
-23.0%
Bear Bias
10.0%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

GBPAUD processing result: the energy state leaning Bear after the 4H candle closed.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy reading rose +8.2%, moving from -31.2% to -23% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPAUD Market Energy ranged from -44 to +53.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was GBPAUD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 13-08-2026 closed, GBPAUD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -23%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did GBPAUD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -31.2% to -23%.

What state was GBPAUD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPAUD at -31.2%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPAUD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -23%, GBPAUD is 2.1 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 37.02 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.2%. Against this backdrop, GBPAUD (Bear Bias, -23%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51%. GBPAUD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPAUD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPAUD on the GBPAUD overview →

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