Analysis

EURUSD 1.1234 ↑0.07%: Bulls have the edge · D Oct 21, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 1.1226 · High 1.1241 · Low 1.1214 · Close 1.1234 · Range (high − low) 0.002695
EURUSD closed at 1.1234, up 0.00079 (+0.07%) from 1.1226.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 27.9% to Bull Bias at 31.6%, up 3.7 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.12271.12141.12261.1234
Energy29.6%31.2%27.9%31.6%
Price change↓ 0.12%↓ 0.11%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.07%
Energy change↓ 3.4↑ 1.6↓ 3.3↑ 3.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.12%↓ 0.11%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.07%↓ 3.4↑ 1.6↓ 3.3↑ 3.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 24% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.7 pts — higher than 20% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias EURUSD Daily

Sample: 4,070 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 329 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 95 times — 28.9%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 234 times — 71.1%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 31.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 28.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 10.68%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · D1 · 2026-10-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURUSD chart →
Market Energy
27.9%
Bull Bias
31.6%
Bull Bias
26.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle closes, EURUSD within the energy state leaning Bull.

End-of-session update for Daily, Market Energy reading rose +3.7%, moving from 27.9% to 31.6% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 5 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from 27.9 to 33.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 21-10-2026, EURUSD was at 1.1234, up 0.07% from the previous candle (1.1226). Market Energy was 31.6%, up 3.7 points from 27.9%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1234, up 0.07% from the previous Daily candle (1.1226). This rise is larger than 24% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD, across 2,439 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 27.9% to 31.6%. This rise is larger than 20% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had EURUSD at 27.9%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 31.6%, EURUSD is 28.44 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 10.68 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.1%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Bias, 31.6%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.3%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 33.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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