Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURNZD from 2.0046 to 2.0058, up 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -78.2% to Bear Critical -71.9%, up 6.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.31%▲ 0.06%
Energy▼ 6.5▼ 39.3▼ 67.8▲ 6.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.31%▲ 0.06%▼ 6.5▼ 39.3▼ 67.8▲ 6.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.06% — higher than 38% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.2 pts — higher than 33% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURNZD 4H

Sample: 301 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 4 times

▸When EURNZD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURNZD moved to higher Market State: 4 times — 100%
  • then EURNZD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURNZD market energy: -71.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.58%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURNZD · H4 · 2026-10-01 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURNZD chart →
Market Energy
-78.2%
Bear Extreme
-71.9%
Bear Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, EURNZD shows Bear in Critical state.

Market energy measurement Market Energy at -71.9%, up +6.2% from -78.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURNZD Market Energy ranged from -78.2 to +35.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURNZD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, EURNZD was at 2.0058, up 0.06% from the previous candle (2.0046). Market Energy was -71.9%, up 6.2 points from -78.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURNZD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURNZD closed at 2.0058, up 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (2.0046). This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURNZD, across 305 candles since 2019.

How did EURNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -78.2% to -71.9%. This rise is larger than 33% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURNZD.

Do EURNZD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURNZD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURNZD at -78.2%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, EURNZD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does EURNZD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.9%, EURNZD is 11.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.58 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.7%. Against this backdrop, EURNZD (Bear Critical, -71.9%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 88.4%. EURNZD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURNZD on the EURNZD overview →

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