Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURNZD from 2.0073 to 2.0096, up 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Bias -26.6% to Bear Bias -21.3%, up 5.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.01%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.12%
Energy▼ 6.2▼ 7.4▼ 47.7▲ 5.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.01%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.12%▼ 6.2▼ 7.4▼ 47.7▲ 5.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.12% — higher than 66% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.3 pts — higher than 27% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURNZD 4H

Sample: 282 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 18 times

▸When EURNZD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURNZD moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 83.3%
  • then EURNZD moved to lower Market State: 3 times — 16.7%

▸Current EURNZD market energy: -21.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 0.44%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 38.68%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURNZD · H4 · 2026-09-28 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-26.6%
Bear Bias
-21.3%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, EURNZD within the Bear Bias energy zone.

On the energy side, Energy delta +5.3%: Market Energy at -21.3%, previously -26.6%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURNZD Market Energy ranged from -26.6 to +61.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURNZD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, EURNZD was at 2.0096, up 0.12% from the previous candle (2.0073). Market Energy was -21.3%, up 5.3 points from -26.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURNZD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURNZD closed at 2.0096, up 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (2.0073). This rise is larger than 66% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURNZD, across 284 candles since 2019.

How did EURNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -26.6% to -21.3%. This rise is larger than 27% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURNZD.

Do EURNZD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURNZD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURNZD at -26.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURNZD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -21.3%, EURNZD is 0.44 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 38.68 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.2%. Against this backdrop, EURNZD (Bear Bias, -21.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.1%. EURNZD energy is currently below DXY by 29.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURNZD on the EURNZD overview →

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