Analysis

·

Price and energy
EURNZD from 2.0028 to 2.0021, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -81.3% to Bear Extreme -78.1%, up 3.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.13%0.03%0.08%0.04%
Energy15.210.013.33.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.13% 0.03% 0.08% 0.04% 15.2 10.0 13.3 3.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.2 pts — higher than 21% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURNZD 1H

Sample: 57,671 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 595 times

When EURNZD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURNZD moved to higher Market State: 595 times100%
  • then EURNZD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current EURNZD market energy: -78.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.6%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.9%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURNZD · H1 · 2026-09-16 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURNZD chart →
Market Energy
-81.3%
Bear Extreme
-78.1%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURNZD classified into Bear energy at Extreme after the 1H candle completed.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy rose +3.2% from the previous session, from -81.3% to -78.1%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURNZD Market Energy ranged from -81.3 to +97.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURNZD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, EURNZD was at 2.0021, down 0.04% from the previous candle (2.0028). Market Energy was -78.1%, up 3.2 points from -81.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURNZD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURNZD closed at 2.0021, down 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (2.0028). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURNZD, across 47,976 candles since 2019.

How did EURNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -81.3% to -78.1%. This rise is larger than 21% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for EURNZD.

Do EURNZD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURNZD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURNZD at -81.3%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURNZD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.1%, EURNZD is 3.6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.9 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.5%. Against this backdrop, EURNZD (Bear Extreme, -78.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 65.1%. EURNZD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURNZD on the EURNZD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .