Analysis

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Price and energy
EURNZD from 2.0078 to 2.0056, down 0.11%
Market Energy Bull Bias 33.9% to Bear Critical -65.9%, down 99.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.16%0.07%0.10%0.11%
Energy13.55.236.499.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.16% 0.07% 0.10% 0.11% 13.5 5.2 36.4 99.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 81% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 99.7 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURNZD 1H

Sample: 57,667 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,656 times

When EURNZD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURNZD moved to higher Market State: 1,237 times74.7%
  • then EURNZD moved to lower Market State: 419 times25.3%

Current EURNZD market energy: -65.87%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.87%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.63%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURNZD · H1 · 2026-09-16 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
33.9%
Bull Bias
-65.9%
Bear Critical
Expected at
15:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The near-peak Bear energy level recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for EURNZD.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -99.7% from the previous candle, from 33.9% to -65.9%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURNZD Market Energy ranged from -76.4 to +97.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURNZD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, EURNZD was at 2.0056, down 0.11% from the previous candle (2.0078). Market Energy was -65.9%, down 99.7 points from 33.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURNZD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURNZD closed at 2.0056, down 0.11% from the previous 1H candle (2.0078). This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURNZD, across 47,971 candles since 2019.

How did EURNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 99.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 33.9% to -65.9%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for EURNZD on record since 2019.

Do EURNZD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURNZD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURNZD at 33.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURNZD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does EURNZD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.9%, EURNZD is 5.87 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.63 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 45.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.1%. Against this backdrop, EURNZD (Bear Critical, -65.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53%. EURNZD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURNZD on the EURNZD overview →

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