Analysis

EURNZD 1.9699 ↓0.38%: Bears very strong · D Oct 21, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 1.9775 · High 1.9796 · Low 1.9683 · Close 1.9699 · Range (high − low) 0.01132
EURNZD closed at 1.9699, down 0.00758 (-0.38%) from 1.9775.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -48.8% to Bear Critical at -69.8%, down 21.1 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.98391.97931.97751.9699
Energy-53.5%-47.5%-48.8%-69.8%
Price change↓ 0.22%↓ 0.23%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.38%
Energy change↓ 8.2↑ 5.9↓ 1.2↓ 21.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.22%↓ 0.23%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.38%↓ 8.2↑ 5.9↓ 1.2↓ 21.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.38% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 21.1 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURNZD Daily

Sample: 4,044 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 98 times

▸When EURNZD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURNZD moved to higher Market State: 74 times — 75.5%
  • then EURNZD moved to lower Market State: 24 times — 24.5%

▸Current EURNZD market energy: -69.83%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.67%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURNZD · D1 · 2026-10-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURNZD chart →
Market Energy
-48.8%
Bear Bias
-69.8%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, EURNZD within the near-extreme Bear energy level.

Market trend update: Market trend energy recorded a -21.1% drop from the previous candle, from -48.8% to -69.8%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURNZD Market Energy ranged from -69.8 to -45.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURNZD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 21-10-2026, EURNZD was at 1.9699, down 0.38% from the previous candle (1.9775). Market Energy was -69.8%, down 21.1 points from -48.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURNZD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

EURNZD closed at 1.9699, down 0.38% from the previous Daily candle (1.9775). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURNZD, across 2,438 candles since 2019.

How did EURNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 21.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -48.8% to -69.8%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURNZD.

Do EURNZD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURNZD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had EURNZD at -48.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, EURNZD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does EURNZD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.8%, EURNZD is 9.83 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.67 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.1%. Against this backdrop, EURNZD (Bear Critical, -69.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.3%. EURNZD energy is currently below DXY by 67.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURNZD on the EURNZD overview →

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