Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURGBP from 0.85792 to 0.85802, up 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Critical -74.4% to Bear Critical -65.7%, up 8.7 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.04%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.01%
Energy▼ 1.6▲ 12.1▲ 12.3▲ 8.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.04%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.01%▼ 1.6▲ 12.1▲ 12.3▲ 8.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.01% — higher than 20% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.7 pts — higher than 52% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURGBP 4H

Sample: 283 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-27
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 5 times

▸When EURGBP is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURGBP moved to higher Market State: 4 times — 80%
  • then EURGBP moved to lower Market State: 1 times — 20%

▸Current EURGBP market energy: -65.65%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.65%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.85%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURGBP · H4 · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURGBP chart →
Market Energy
-74.4%
Bear Critical
-65.7%
Bear Critical
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical energy zone recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for EURGBP.

The market energy reading Market Energy rose +8.7% from the previous session, from -74.4% to -65.7%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURGBP Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to +86.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURGBP price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, EURGBP was at 0.85802, up 0.01% from the previous candle (0.85792). Market Energy was -65.7%, up 8.7 points from -74.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURGBP price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURGBP closed at 0.85802, up 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (0.85792). This rise is larger than 20% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP, across 288 candles since 2019.

How did EURGBP Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.4% to -65.7%. This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP.

Do EURGBP price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURGBP in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURGBP at -74.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURGBP energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.7%, EURGBP is 5.65 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.85 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, EURGBP (Bear Critical, -65.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.8%. EURGBP (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURGBP.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURGBP on the EURGBP overview →

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