Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURCHF from 0.93424 to 0.93366, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -99.3% to Bear Extreme -95.8%, up 3.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.00%▲ 0.08%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.06%
Energy▼ 9.2▼ 3.0▲ 0.7▲ 3.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.00%▲ 0.08%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.06%▼ 9.2▼ 3.0▲ 0.7▲ 3.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 58% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.5 pts — higher than 20% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURCHF 4H

Sample: 293 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 5 times

▸When EURCHF is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURCHF moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 100%
  • then EURCHF moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURCHF market energy: -95.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.27%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 4.23%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURCHF · H4 · 2026-10-02 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-99.3%
Bear Extreme
-95.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, EURCHF recorded in the Bear Extreme state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A +3.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -95.8% (previous: -99.3%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCHF Market Energy ranged from -100 to +62.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, EURCHF was at 0.93366, down 0.06% from the previous candle (0.93424). Market Energy was -95.8%, up 3.5 points from -99.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCHF closed at 0.93366, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (0.93424). This drop is larger than 58% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF, across 297 candles since 2019.

How did EURCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -99.3% to -95.8%. This rise is larger than 20% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF.

Do EURCHF price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCHF at -99.3%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURCHF energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -95.8%, EURCHF is 21.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 4.23 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 22.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.4%. Against this backdrop, EURCHF (Bear Extreme, -95.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.8%. EURCHF (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCHF on the EURCHF overview →

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