Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURCHF from 0.94698 to 0.94313, down 0.41%
Market Energy Bull Bias 30.3% to Bear Critical -62.1%, down 92.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.00%▼ 0.04%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.41%
Energy▼ 7.9▼ 6.2▲ 1.7▼ 92.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.00%▼ 0.04%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.41%▼ 7.9▼ 6.2▲ 1.7▼ 92.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.41% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 92.5 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURCHF 4H

Sample: 287 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 6 times

▸When EURCHF is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURCHF moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 83.3%
  • then EURCHF moved to lower Market State: 1 times — 16.7%

▸Current EURCHF market energy: -62.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.38%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

EURCHF · H4 · 2026-10-01 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
30.3%
Bull Bias
-62.1%
Bear Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded EURCHF in the Bear Critical measurement after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, Market Energy at -62.1%, down -92.5% from 30.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCHF Market Energy ranged from -62.1 to +62.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, EURCHF was at 0.94313, down 0.41% from the previous candle (0.94698). Market Energy was -62.1%, down 92.5 points from 30.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCHF closed at 0.94313, down 0.41% from the previous 4H candle (0.94698). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF, across 292 candles since 2019.

How did EURCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 92.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 30.3% to -62.1%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF.

Do EURCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCHF at 30.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does EURCHF energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -62.1%, EURCHF is 2.12 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.38 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 96.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -6.1%. Against this backdrop, EURCHF (Bear Critical, -62.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.8%. EURCHF (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCHF on the EURCHF overview →

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