Analysis

·

Price and energy
EURCHF from 0.93866 to 0.93777, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Bias -59.7% to Bear Critical -65.1%, down 5.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.24%0.05%0.09%
Energy15.963.722.55.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.24% 0.05% 0.09% 15.9 63.7 22.5 5.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.3 pts — higher than 27% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURCHF 4H

Sample: 203 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3 times

When EURCHF is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURCHF moved to higher Market State: 2 times66.7%
  • then EURCHF moved to lower Market State: 1 times33.3%

Current EURCHF market energy: -65.05%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.05%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.45%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURCHF · H4 · 2026-09-03 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURCHF chart →
Market Energy
-59.7%
Bear Bias
-65.1%
Bear Critical
-55.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, EURCHF within the near-peak Bear energy level.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from -59.7% to -65.1%, down -5.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCHF Market Energy ranged from -65.1 to +85.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, EURCHF was at 0.93777, down 0.09% from the previous candle (0.93866). Market Energy was -65.1%, down 5.3 points from -59.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCHF closed at 0.93777, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (0.93866). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF, across 179 candles since 2019.

How did EURCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -59.7% to -65.1%. This drop is larger than 27% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF.

Do EURCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCHF at -59.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, EURCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does EURCHF energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.1%, EURCHF is 5.05 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.45 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.8%. Against this backdrop, EURCHF (Bear Critical, -65.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87%. EURCHF (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCHF on the EURCHF overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .