Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
EURCHF from 0.93258 to 0.93203, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -84.4% to Bear Extreme -81.6%, up 2.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.06%▼ 1.30%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.06%
Energy▼ 10.3▼ 128.8▼ 1.5▲ 2.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.06%▼ 1.30%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.06%▼ 10.3▼ 128.8▼ 1.5▲ 2.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 25% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.8 pts — higher than 19% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURCHF Daily

Sample: 4,047 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-04
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 30 times

▸When EURCHF is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURCHF moved to higher Market State: 30 times — 100%
  • then EURCHF moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURCHF market energy: -81.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.06%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.44%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURCHF · D1 · 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURCHF chart →
Market Energy
-84.4%
Bear Extreme
-81.6%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle completes, EURCHF in the extreme Bear energy state.

On the measurement side, Market Energy at -81.6%, up +2.8% from -84.4% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCHF Market Energy ranged from -84.4 to +56.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCHF price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 04-10-2026 closed, EURCHF was at 0.93203, down 0.06% from the previous candle (0.93258). Market Energy was -81.6%, up 2.8 points from -84.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURCHF price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCHF closed at 0.93203, down 0.06% from the previous Daily candle (0.93258). This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURCHF, across 2,423 candles since 2019.

How did EURCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -84.4% to -81.6%. This rise is larger than 19% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for EURCHF.

Do EURCHF price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURCHF in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had EURCHF at -84.4%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURCHF energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.6%, EURCHF is 7.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.44 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.7%. Against this backdrop, EURCHF (Bear Extreme, -81.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.6%. EURCHF (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCHF on the EURCHF overview →

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