Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURCAD from 1.6054 to 1.6047, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -78.6% to Bear Critical -74.5%, up 4.1 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.06%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.04%
Energy▼ 25.8▼ 4.8▲ 9.8▲ 4.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.06%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.04%▼ 25.8▼ 4.8▲ 9.8▲ 4.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 41% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.1 pts — higher than 30% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURCAD 4H

Sample: 280 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 13 times

▸When EURCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURCAD moved to higher Market State: 9 times — 69.2%
  • then EURCAD moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 30.8%

▸Current EURCAD market energy: -74.47%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.47%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.03%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURCAD · H4 · 2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-78.6%
Bear Extreme
-74.5%
Bear Critical
-67.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURCAD recorded in Bear Critical of Market Energy as the 4H candle ended.

The market energy reading Energy delta +4.1%: Market Energy at -74.5%, previously -78.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCAD Market Energy ranged from -88.4 to +68.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, EURCAD was at 1.6047, down 0.04% from the previous candle (1.6054). Market Energy was -74.5%, up 4.1 points from -78.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCAD closed at 1.6047, down 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (1.6054). This drop is larger than 41% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCAD, across 268 candles since 2019.

How did EURCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -78.6% to -74.5%. This rise is larger than 30% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURCAD.

Do EURCAD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCAD at -78.6%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, EURCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does EURCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.5%, EURCAD is 14.47 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.03 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.9%. Against this backdrop, EURCAD (Bear Critical, -74.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.9%. EURCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCAD on the EURCAD overview →

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