Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,688.05 to 2,691.61, up 0.13%
Market Energy Bull Critical 63.0% to Bull Critical 60.3%, down 2.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.81%▼ 2.50%▲ 0.12%▲ 0.13%
Energy▼ 0.9▼ 19.7▼ 8.8▼ 2.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.81%▼ 2.50%▲ 0.12%▲ 0.13%▼ 0.9▼ 19.7▼ 8.8▼ 2.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.13% — higher than 4% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.8 pts — higher than 16% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical ETHUSD Daily

Sample: 3,326 Daily candles from 2017-08-18 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 175 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 56 times — 32%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 119 times — 68%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: 60.26%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.26%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · D1 · 2026-09-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
63.0%
Bull Critical
60.3%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, ETHUSD within the Bull Critical state.

On the energy side, Market Energy at 60.3%, down -2.8% from 63% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from +60.3 to +92.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,691.61, up 0.13% from the previous candle (2,688.05). Market Energy was 60.3%, down 2.8 points from 63%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,691.61, up 0.13% from the previous Daily candle (2,688.05). This rise is larger than 4% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for ETHUSD, across 2,825 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 63% to 60.3%. This drop is larger than 16% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had ETHUSD at 63%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.3%, ETHUSD is 14.24 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.26 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18.5%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Critical, 60.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.8%. ETHUSD energy is currently above DXY by 63.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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