Analysis

DXY Index 101.364 points ↓0.09%: Bears have the edge · 4H 20:00 Oct 21, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 101.46 · High 101.505 · Low 101.345 · Close 101.364 · Range (high − low) 0.16
DXY Index closed at 101.364 points, down 0.094 (-0.09%) from 101.458.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -5.3% to Bear Bias at -36.4%, down 31.1 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price101.385101.47101.458101.364
Energy-11.8%-4.0%-5.3%-36.4%
Price change↓ 0.06%↑ 0.08%↓ 0.01%↓ 0.09%
Energy change↓ 1.1↑ 7.8↓ 1.3↓ 31.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.06%↑ 0.08%↓ 0.01%↓ 0.09%↓ 1.1↑ 7.8↓ 1.3↓ 31.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 31.1 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DXY Index 4H

Sample: 321 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 23 times

▸When DXY Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 65.2%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 8 times — 34.8%

▸Current DXY Index market energy: -36.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 15.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 23.56%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H4 · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DXY chart →
Market Energy
-5.3%
Neutral
-36.4%
Bear Bias
-45.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, DXY Index classified as trend energy leaning Bear.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy reading dropped -31.1%, moving from -5.3% to -36.4% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -60.9 to 29.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 21-10-2026, DXY Index was at 101.364, down 0.09% from the previous candle (101.458). Market Energy was -36.4%, down 31.1 points from -5.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DXY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 101.364, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (101.458). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY, across 321 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 31.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -5.3% to -36.4%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DXY Index at -5.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, DXY Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -36.4%, DXY Index is 15.56 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 23.56 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Bias, -36.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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