Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
DXY Index from 100.8955 to 100.8485 points, down 0.05%
Market Energy Neutral 1.4% to Bear Bias -32.0%, down 33.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.19%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.23%▼ 0.05%
Energy▼ 16.7▼ 6.3▼ 59.5▼ 33.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.19%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.23%▼ 0.05%▼ 16.7▼ 6.3▼ 59.5▼ 33.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 33.3 pts — higher than 84% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DXY Index 4H

Sample: 243 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 17 times

▸When DXY Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 11 times — 64.7%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 35.3%

▸Current DXY Index market energy: -31.96%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 11.08%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 28.04%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H4 · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
1.4%
Neutral
-32.0%
Bear Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, DXY Index recorded in the energy zone leaning Bear.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -33.3% from the previous session, from 1.4% to -32%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -63.5 to +83.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 100.8485, down 0.05% from the previous candle (100.8955). Market Energy was -32%, down 33.3 points from 1.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DXY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 100.8485, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (100.8955). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY, across 246 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 33.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 1.4% to -32%. This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DXY Index at 1.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, DXY Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -32%, DXY Index is 11.08 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 28.04 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.8%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Bias, -32%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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