Analysis

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Price and energy
DXY Index from 98.682 to 98.662 points, down 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Bias -51.0% to Bear Critical -62.2%, down 11.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.02%0.22%0.02%
Energy0.33.513.011.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.02% 0.22% 0.02% 0.3 3.5 13.0 11.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 16% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.2 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DXY Index 4H

Sample: 186 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 9 times

When DXY Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 6 times66.7%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 3 times33.3%

Current DXY Index market energy: -62.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.3%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H4 · 2026-09-07 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-51.0%
Bear Bias
-62.2%
Bear Critical
-67.9%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, DXY Index classified as the near-peak Bear energy level.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -11.2% this candle, currently -62.2% (previous candle -51%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to +68.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 07-09-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 98.662, down 0.02% from the previous candle (98.682). Market Energy was -62.2%, down 11.2 points from -51%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DXY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 98.662, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (98.682). This drop is larger than 16% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY, across 162 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -51% to -62.2%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DXY Index at -51%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DXY Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -62.2%, DXY Index is 2.2 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.3 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -3.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -27.3%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Critical, -62.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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