Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
DXY Index from 98.476 to 98.624 points, up 0.15%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -82.4% to Bear Bias -39.4%, up 42.9 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.09%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.15%
Energy▲ 5.3▲ 0.0▲ 11.8▲ 42.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.09%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.15%▲ 5.3▲ 0.0▲ 11.8▲ 42.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.15% — higher than 85% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 42.9 pts — higher than 89% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DXY Index 4H

Sample: 281 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 20 times

▸When DXY Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 14 times — 70%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 30%

▸Current DXY Index market energy: -39.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 18.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 20.56%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H4 · 2026-08-20 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DXY chart →
Market Energy
-82.4%
Bear Extreme
-39.4%
Bear Bias
-31.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Energy leaning Bear determined for DXY Index through the 4H candle data.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy rose +42.9% this candle, currently -39.4% (previous candle -82.4%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -99.5 to +24.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 20-08-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 98.624, up 0.15% from the previous candle (98.476). Market Energy was -39.4%, up 42.9 points from -82.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DXY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 98.624, up 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (98.476). This rise is larger than 85% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DXY, across 103 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 42.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -82.4% to -39.4%. This rise is larger than 89% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DXY Index at -82.4%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, DXY Index moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -39.4%, DXY Index is 18.56 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 20.56 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.2%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Bias, -39.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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