Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
DXY Index from 99.433 to 99.318 points, down 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Critical -66.1% to Bear Extreme -77.3%, down 11.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.01%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.15%▼ 0.12%
Energy▲ 8.8▼ 11.3▼ 42.1▼ 11.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.01%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.15%▼ 0.12%▲ 8.8▼ 11.3▼ 42.1▼ 11.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 59% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.2 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DXY Index 4H

Sample: 281 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 8 times

▸When DXY Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 8 times — 100%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current DXY Index market energy: -77.32%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.82%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.68%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H4 · 2026-08-14 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-66.1%
Bear Critical
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
-60.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Market DXY Index in the Bear Extreme energy zone.

Market energy measurement The energy level dropped -11.2%: from -66.1% now at -77.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -84.1 to +27.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 14-08-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 99.318, down 0.12% from the previous candle (99.433). Market Energy was -77.3%, down 11.2 points from -66.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DXY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 99.318, down 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (99.433). This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY, across 82 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.1% to -77.3%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DXY Index at -66.1%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, DXY Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.3%, DXY Index is 2.82 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.68 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70.4%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Extreme, -77.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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