Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
DXY Index from 101.736 to 101.5 points, down 0.23%
Market Energy Bull Bias 57.6% to Bear Critical -66.8%, down 124.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.00%▲ 0.10%0.00%▼ 0.23%
Energy▲ 16.3▲ 53.3▲ 16.0▼ 124.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.00%▲ 0.10%0.00%▼ 0.23%▲ 16.3▲ 53.3▲ 16.0▼ 124.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 124.4 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DXY Index 1H

Sample: 44,457 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,844 times

▸When DXY Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 1,282 times — 69.5%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 562 times — 30.5%

▸Current DXY Index market energy: -66.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.77%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.73%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H1 · 2026-10-02 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
57.6%
Bull Bias
-66.8%
Bear Critical
-91.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, DXY Index currently in Bear in Critical state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from 57.6% to -66.8%, down -124.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -81.3 to +97.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 101.5, down 0.23% from the previous candle (101.736). Market Energy was -66.8%, down 124.4 points from 57.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DXY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 101.5, down 0.23% from the previous 1H candle (101.736). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DXY, across 42,915 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 124.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 57.6% to -66.8%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for DXY on record since 2019.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had DXY Index at 57.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, DXY Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.8%, DXY Index is 6.77 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.73 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.9%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Critical, -66.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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