Analysis

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Price and energy
DXY Index from 99.014 to 98.951 points, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.7% to Bear Critical -70.1%, down 1.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.07%0.02%0.06%
Energy3.114.316.01.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.07% 0.02% 0.06% 3.1 14.3 16.0 1.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.3 pts — higher than 12% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DXY Index 1H

Sample: 44,129 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,839 times

When DXY Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 1,278 times69.5%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 561 times30.5%

Current DXY Index market energy: -70.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.44%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H1 · 2026-09-03 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-68.7%
Bear Critical
-70.1%
Bear Critical
-68.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 1H timeframe completes, DXY Index noted at Bear Critical.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Compared to the previous candle (-68.7%), Market Energy dropped -1.3% to -70.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -86.9 to +87.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 98.951, down 0.06% from the previous candle (99.014). Market Energy was -70.1%, down 1.3 points from -68.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DXY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 98.951, down 0.06% from the previous 1H candle (99.014). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DXY, across 42,465 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.7% to -70.1%. This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had DXY Index at -68.7%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.1%, DXY Index is 10.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.44 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 27.9%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Critical, -70.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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