Analysis

DOTUSD 1.017 ↓1.17%: Bears have the edge · 4H 11:00 Oct 26, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.029 · High 1.035 · Low 1.011 · Close 1.017 · Range (high − low) 0.024
DOTUSD closed at 1.017, down 0.012 (-1.17%) from 1.029.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -32.3% to Bear Bias at -47.4%, down 15.2 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.041.0381.0291.017
Energy-36.0%-26.9%-32.3%-47.4%
Price change↑ 1.36%↓ 0.19%↓ 0.87%↓ 1.17%
Energy change↑ 24.4↑ 9.1↓ 5.4↓ 15.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.36%↓ 0.19%↓ 0.87%↓ 1.17%↑ 24.4↑ 9.1↓ 5.4↓ 15.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.17% — higher than 60% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.2 pts — higher than 69% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,550 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,062 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 704 times — 66.3%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 358 times — 33.7%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: -47.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 26.57%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 12.55%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-26 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
-32.3%
Bear Bias
-47.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
15:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, DOTUSD shows the Bear Bias state.

The DOTUSD market at session end, The energy level dropped -15.2%: from -32.3% now at -47.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.3 to 92.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 26-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.017, down 1.17% from the previous candle (1.029). Market Energy was -47.4%, down 15.2 points from -32.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.017, down 1.17% from the previous 4H candle (1.029). This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,554 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -32.3% to -47.4%. This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -32.3%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -47.4%, DOTUSD is 26.57 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 12.55 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -66.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -23.7%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Bias, -47.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -79.3%. DOTUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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