Analysis

DOTUSD 1.03 ↓1.06%: Bears very strong · 4H 15:00 Oct 25, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.041 · High 1.044 · Low 1.018 · Close 1.03 · Range (high − low) 0.026
DOTUSD closed at 1.03, down 0.011 (-1.06%) from 1.041.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -59.3% to Bear Critical at -63.2%, down 3.9 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.0421.0481.0411.03
Energy-71.4%-59.9%-59.3%-63.2%
Price change↑ 0.29%↑ 0.58%↓ 0.67%↓ 1.06%
Energy change↑ 10.9↑ 11.6↑ 0.5↓ 3.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.29%↑ 0.58%↓ 0.67%↓ 1.06%↑ 10.9↑ 11.6↑ 0.5↓ 3.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.06% — higher than 56% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.9 pts — higher than 26% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,549 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-25
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 537 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 403 times — 75%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 134 times — 25%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: -63.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.29%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-25 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
-59.3%
Bear Bias
-63.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
19:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Market Energy of DOTUSD indicates the Bear Critical measurement.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -3.9% from the previous candle, from -59.3% to -63.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.3 to 92.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 25-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.03, down 1.06% from the previous candle (1.041). Market Energy was -63.2%, down 3.9 points from -59.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.03, down 1.06% from the previous 4H candle (1.041). This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,549 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -59.3% to -63.2%. This drop is larger than 26% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -59.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.2%, DOTUSD is 3.21 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.29 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 19.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 12.3%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Critical, -63.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.1%. DOTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 75.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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