Analysis

DOTUSD 1.111 ↓1.51%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 15:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.128 · High 1.132 · Low 1.108 · Close 1.111 · Range (high − low) 0.024
DOTUSD closed at 1.111, down 0.017 (-1.51%) from 1.128.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -56.8% to Bear Extreme at -85.3%, down 28.5 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.171.1441.1281.111
Energy46.4%-7.9%-56.8%-85.3%
Price change↓ 0.85%↓ 2.22%↓ 1.40%↓ 1.51%
Energy change↓ 9.0↓ 54.3↓ 48.8↓ 28.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.85%↓ 2.22%↓ 1.40%↓ 1.51%↓ 9.0↓ 54.3↓ 48.8↓ 28.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.51% — higher than 69% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 28.5 pts — higher than 85% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,531 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 330 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 330 times — 100%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: -85.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 10.78%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 14.72%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-22 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
-56.8%
Bear Bias
-85.3%
Bear Extreme
-68.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Extreme zone is the result just recorded for DOTUSD after the 4H candle closed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from -56.8% to -85.3%, down -28.5% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -95 to 55.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 22-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.111, down 1.51% from the previous candle (1.128). Market Energy was -85.3%, down 28.5 points from -56.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.111, down 1.51% from the previous 4H candle (1.128). This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,531 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 28.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -56.8% to -85.3%. This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -56.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -85.3%, DOTUSD is 10.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 14.72 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.8%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Extreme, -85.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -51.8%. DOTUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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