Analysis

DOTUSD 1.17 ↓0.85%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 03:00 Oct 22, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.18 · High 1.192 · Low 1.162 · Close 1.17 · Range (high − low) 0.03
DOTUSD closed at 1.17, down 0.01 (-0.85%) from 1.18.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 55.4% to Bull Bias at 46.4%, down 9.0 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.1671.1551.181.17
Energy28.3%23.1%55.4%46.4%
Price change↑ 0.34%↓ 1.03%↑ 2.16%↓ 0.85%
Energy change↑ 5.9↓ 5.1↑ 32.3↓ 9.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.34%↓ 1.03%↑ 2.16%↓ 0.85%↑ 5.9↓ 5.1↑ 32.3↓ 9.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.85% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.0 pts — higher than 50% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,533 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,039 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 360 times — 34.6%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 679 times — 65.4%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: 46.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 13.63%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 25.49%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-21 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
55.4%
Bull Bias
46.4%
Bull Bias
-7.9%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, DOTUSD in the Bull Bias state.

The DOTUSD market at session end, A -9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 46.4% (previous: 55.4%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 14 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -95 to 55.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 21-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.17, down 0.85% from the previous candle (1.18). Market Energy was 46.4%, down 9.0 points from 55.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.17, down 0.85% from the previous 4H candle (1.18). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,528 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 55.4% to 46.4%. This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 55.4%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 46.4%, DOTUSD is 13.63 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 25.49 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.5%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Bias, 46.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.6%. DOTUSD energy is currently above DXY by 25.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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