Analysis

DOTUSD 1.071 ↓3.34%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 23:00 Oct 18, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.107 · High 1.113 · Low 1.066 · Close 1.071 · Range (high − low) 0.047
DOTUSD closed at 1.071, down 0.037 (-3.34%) from 1.108.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -34.8% to Bear Extreme at -75.0%, down 40.2 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.1171.1051.1081.071
Energy-38.0%-38.2%-34.8%-75.0%
Price change↑ 0.09%↓ 1.07%↑ 0.27%↓ 3.34%
Energy change↑ 0.9↓ 0.3↑ 3.4↓ 40.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.09%↓ 1.07%↑ 0.27%↓ 3.34%↑ 0.9↓ 0.3↑ 3.4↓ 40.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.34% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 40.2 pts — higher than 91% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,518 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 330 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 330 times — 100%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: -74.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.47%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 25.03%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-18 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
-34.8%
Bear Bias
-75.0%
Bear Extreme
-95.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, DOTUSD recorded in Bear energy at peak level.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from -34.8% to -75%, down -40.2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -75 to 64.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 18-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.071, down 3.34% from the previous candle (1.108). Market Energy was -75%, down 40.2 points from -34.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.071, down 3.34% from the previous 4H candle (1.108). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,509 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 40.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -34.8% to -75%. This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -34.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75%, DOTUSD is 0.47 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 25.03 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Extreme, -75%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.5%. DOTUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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