Analysis

DOTUSD 1.172 ↓0.17%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 23:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.174 · High 1.213 · Low 1.163 · Close 1.172 · Range (high − low) 0.05
DOTUSD closed at 1.172, down 0.002 (-0.17%) from 1.174.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 55.9% to Bull Bias at 45.6%, down 10.3 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.1531.1461.1741.172
Energy53.1%43.2%55.9%45.6%
Price change↑ 0.26%↓ 0.61%↑ 2.44%↓ 0.17%
Energy change↓ 11.7↓ 9.9↑ 12.7↓ 10.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.26%↓ 0.61%↑ 2.44%↓ 0.17%↓ 11.7↓ 9.9↑ 12.7↓ 10.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.17% — higher than 10% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.3 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,509 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,037 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 360 times — 34.7%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 677 times — 65.3%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: 45.65%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 14.35%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 24.77%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
55.9%
Bull Bias
45.6%
Bull Bias
16.3%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

DOTUSD recorded in trend energy leaning Bull as the 4H candle ended.

On trend energy, Market Energy at 45.6%, down -10.3% from 55.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -95 to 64.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 16-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.172, down 0.17% from the previous candle (1.174). Market Energy was 45.6%, down 10.3 points from 55.9%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.172, down 0.17% from the previous 4H candle (1.174). This drop is larger than 10% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,497 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 55.9% to 45.6%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 55.9%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 45.6%, DOTUSD is 14.35 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 24.77 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -0.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.2%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Bias, 45.6%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 42.1%. DOTUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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