Analysis

DOTUSD 1.153 ↑0.26%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 11:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.15 · High 1.187 · Low 1.138 · Close 1.153 · Range (high − low) 0.049
DOTUSD closed at 1.153, up 0.003 (+0.26%) from 1.15.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 64.8% to Bull Bias at 53.1%, down 11.7 points.
Fourth straight up candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.1141.1311.151.153
Energy-11.2%50.1%64.8%53.1%
Price change↑ 2.11%↑ 1.53%↑ 1.68%↑ 0.26%
Energy change↑ 58.4↑ 61.3↑ 14.7↓ 11.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 2.11%↑ 1.53%↑ 1.68%↑ 0.26%↑ 58.4↑ 61.3↑ 14.7↓ 11.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.26% — higher than 15% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.7 pts — higher than 60% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,509 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,037 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 360 times — 34.7%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 677 times — 65.3%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: 53.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 6.89%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 32.23%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
64.8%
Bull Critical
53.1%
Bull Bias
43.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, DOTUSD in the Bull Bias level.

Observing the DOTUSD market this session, Market Energy dropped -11.7% from the previous candle, from 64.8% to 53.1%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -95 to 64.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 16-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.153, up 0.26% from the previous candle (1.15). Market Energy was 53.1%, down 11.7 points from 64.8%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.153, up 0.26% from the previous 4H candle (1.15). This rise is larger than 15% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,494 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 64.8% to 53.1%. This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 64.8%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 53.1%, DOTUSD is 6.89 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 32.23 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.4%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Bias, 53.1%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.6%. DOTUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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