Analysis

DOTUSD 1.217 ↓1.62%: Bears very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 13, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.236 · High 1.248 · Low 1.201 · Close 1.217 · Range (high − low) 0.047
DOTUSD closed at 1.217, down 0.02 (-1.62%) from 1.237.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -37.1% to Bear Critical at -69.6%, down 32.4 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.2691.2631.2371.217
Energy47.8%42.3%-37.1%-69.6%
Price change↑ 1.68%↓ 0.47%↓ 2.06%↓ 1.62%
Energy change↑ 14.0↓ 5.5↓ 79.4↓ 32.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.68%↓ 0.47%↓ 2.06%↓ 1.62%↑ 14.0↓ 5.5↓ 79.4↓ 32.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.62% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 32.4 pts — higher than 87% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,555 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-26
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 538 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 404 times — 75.1%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 134 times — 24.9%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: -69.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.92%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live DOTUSD chart →
Market Energy
-37.1%
Bear Bias
-69.6%
Bear Critical
-95.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

DOTUSD classified into the Bear Critical zone after the 4H candle completed.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy moved from -37.1% to -69.6%, down -32.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.7 to 90.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 12-10-2026, DOTUSD was at 1.217, down 1.62% from the previous candle (1.237). Market Energy was -69.6%, down 32.4 points from -37.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.217, down 1.62% from the previous 4H candle (1.237). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,474 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 32.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37.1% to -69.6%. This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -37.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.6%, DOTUSD is 9.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.92 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 3.9%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Critical, -69.6%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 96.3%. DOTUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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