Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.105 to 1.099, down 0.54%
Market Energy Neutral -20.2% to Bear Bias -23.9%, down 3.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.27%1.34%0.27%0.54%
Energy1.83.24.23.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.27% 1.34% 0.27% 0.54% 1.8 3.2 4.2 3.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.54% — higher than 32% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.7 pts — higher than 25% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,278 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,039 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 694 times66.8%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 345 times33.2%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -23.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 36.08%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-20.2%
Neutral
-23.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
23:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias energy zone is the result just recorded for DOTUSD after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, The energy level dropped -3.7%: from -20.2% now at -23.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -23.9 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.099, down 0.54% from the previous candle (1.105). Market Energy was -23.9%, down 3.7 points from -20.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.099, down 0.54% from the previous 4H candle (1.105). This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,280 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -20.2% to -23.9%. This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -20.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -23.9%, DOTUSD is 3.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 36.08 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -53.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -87.7%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Bias, -23.9%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -6.4%. DOTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 17.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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