Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
DOGEUSD from 0.09323 to 0.09335, up 0.13%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -89.6% to Bear Critical -69.8%, up 19.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.93%▼ 1.64%▲ 0.77%▲ 0.13%
Energy▼ 82.8▼ 32.0▲ 7.3▲ 19.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.93%▼ 1.64%▲ 0.77%▲ 0.13%▼ 82.8▼ 32.0▲ 7.3▲ 19.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.13% — higher than 10% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 19.8 pts — higher than 83% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DOGEUSD 4H

Sample: 15,850 4H candles from 2019-07-05 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 310 times

▸When DOGEUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then DOGEUSD moved to higher Market State: 245 times — 79%
  • then DOGEUSD moved to lower Market State: 65 times — 21%

▸Current DOGEUSD market energy: -69.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.74%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOGEUSD · H4 · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-89.6%
Bear Extreme
-69.8%
Bear Critical
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

DOGEUSD recorded in Bear trend energy near extreme as the 4H candle ended.

On the measurement side, Energy delta +19.8%: Market Energy at -69.8%, previously -89.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOGEUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.7 to +71.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOGEUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, DOGEUSD was at 0.09335, up 0.13% from the previous candle (0.09323). Market Energy was -69.8%, up 19.8 points from -89.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DOGEUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOGEUSD closed at 0.09335, up 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (0.09323). This rise is larger than 10% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOGEUSD, across 15,849 candles since 2019.

How did DOGEUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 19.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89.6% to -69.8%. This rise is larger than 83% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOGEUSD.

Do DOGEUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOGEUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOGEUSD at -89.6%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, DOGEUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does DOGEUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.8%, DOGEUSD is 9.76 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.74 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.9%. Against this backdrop, DOGEUSD (Bear Critical, -69.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9.8%. DOGEUSD energy is currently below DXY by 79.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOGEUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOGEUSD on the DOGEUSD overview →

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