Analysis

COTTON 0.8331 ↑0.59%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 12:00 Oct 19, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.8288 · High 0.83455 · Low 0.82725 · Close 0.8331 · Range (high − low) 0.0073
COTTON closed at 0.8331, up 0.00492 (+0.59%) from 0.82818.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -16.9% to Neutral at 14.8%, up 31.7 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.830530.828630.828180.8331
Energy-9.2%-17.3%-16.9%14.8%
Price change↑ 0.09%↓ 0.23%↓ 0.05%↑ 0.59%
Energy change↑ 12.8↓ 8.1↑ 0.4↑ 31.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.09%↓ 0.23%↓ 0.05%↑ 0.59%↑ 12.8↓ 8.1↑ 0.4↑ 31.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.59% — higher than 64% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 31.7 pts — higher than 90% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COTTON 4H

Sample: 246 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-19
Number of Neutral occurrences: 25 times

▸When COTTON is in Neutral:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 13 times — 52%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 12 times — 48%

▸Current COTTON market energy: 14.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 6.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 35.66%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-10-19 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
-16.9%
Neutral
14.8%
Neutral
7.8%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, COTTON reflects Neutral of Market Energy.

Market energy measurement Market Energy rose +31.7% this candle, currently 14.8% (previous candle -16.9%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -50 to 18.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 12:00 on 19-10-2026, COTTON was at 0.8331, up 0.59% from the previous candle (0.82818). Market Energy was 14.8%, up 31.7 points from -16.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.8331, up 0.59% from the previous 4H candle (0.82818). This rise is larger than 64% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 243 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 31.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -16.9% to 14.8%. This rise is larger than 90% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at -16.9%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 14.8%, COTTON is 6.1 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 35.66 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 53%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32.1%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Neutral, 14.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 28%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 13.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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