Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.8108 to 0.81, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -89.1% to Bear Extreme -81.5%, up 7.6 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.64%▼ 2.24%▲ 0.45%▼ 0.10%
Energy▼ 4.2▼ 28.5▲ 6.3▲ 7.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.64%▼ 2.24%▲ 0.45%▼ 0.10%▼ 4.2▼ 28.5▲ 6.3▲ 7.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 9% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.6 pts — higher than 38% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COTTON 4H

Sample: 190 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 3 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 3 times — 100%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -81.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.03%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.47%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-09-30 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
-89.1%
Bear Extreme
-81.5%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, COTTON reflects the Bear Extreme state.

The market energy reading The energy level rose +7.6%: from -89.1% now at -81.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -95.4 to +67.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.81, down 0.1% from the previous candle (0.8108). Market Energy was -81.5%, up 7.6 points from -89.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.81, down 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (0.8108). This drop is larger than 9% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 192 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89.1% to -81.5%. This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at -89.1%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.5%, COTTON is 7.03 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.47 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 16.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.8%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Extreme, -81.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3.2%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 78.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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