Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.84487 to 0.84127, down 0.43%
Market Energy Neutral -14.5% to Bear Bias -31.1%, down 16.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.15%▼ 0.95%▲ 0.23%▼ 0.43%
Energy▼ 4.8▼ 35.4▼ 1.6▼ 16.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.15%▼ 0.95%▲ 0.23%▼ 0.43%▼ 4.8▼ 35.4▼ 1.6▼ 16.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.43% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.6 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COTTON 4H

Sample: 182 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 9 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Bias:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 7 times — 77.8%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 2 times — 22.2%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -31.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 10.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 28.91%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-09-25 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-14.5%
Neutral
-31.1%
Bear Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, COTTON within the Bear Bias state.

At the 4H session close, A -16.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -31.1% (previous: -14.5%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -31.1 to +94.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.84127, down 0.43% from the previous candle (0.84487). Market Energy was -31.1%, down 16.6 points from -14.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.84127, down 0.43% from the previous 4H candle (0.84487). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 181 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.5% to -31.1%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at -14.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -31.1%, COTTON is 10.21 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 28.91 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 47.5%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Bias, -31.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -76.4%. COTTON (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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