Analysis

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Price and energy
COTTON from 0.87586 to 0.87421, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Bias -40.1% to Bear Bias -46.3%, down 6.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.80%0.05%0.76%0.19%
Energy6.116.818.96.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.80% 0.05% 0.76% 0.19% 6.1 16.8 18.9 6.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 20% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.2 pts — higher than 25% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COTTON 4H

Sample: 132 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 6 times

When COTTON is in Bear Bias:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 5 times83.3%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 1 times16.7%

Current COTTON market energy: -46.3%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 25.42%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 13.7%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-09-08 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-40.1%
Bear Bias
-46.3%
Bear Bias
-36.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

COTTON processing result: the Bear trend energy zone after the 4H candle closed.

Per the 2AI model, Compared to the previous candle (-40.1%), Market Energy dropped -6.2% to -46.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 8 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -67.3 to -21.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 08-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.87421, down 0.19% from the previous candle (0.87586). Market Energy was -46.3%, down 6.2 points from -40.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.87421, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (0.87586). This drop is larger than 20% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON, across 130 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -40.1% to -46.3%. This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at -40.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -46.3%, COTTON is 25.42 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 13.7 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.4%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Bias, -46.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -47.5%. COTTON (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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