Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.8054 to 0.80545, up 0.01%
Market Energy Neutral 6.8% to Neutral 4.7%, down 2.1 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.45%▼ 0.30%▼ 0.56%▲ 0.01%
Energy▲ 27.1▲ 0.3▼ 8.2▼ 2.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.45%▼ 0.30%▼ 0.56%▲ 0.01%▲ 27.1▲ 0.3▼ 8.2▼ 2.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.01%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.1 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COTTON 4H

Sample: 222 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-09
Number of Neutral occurrences: 23 times

▸When COTTON is in Neutral:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 13 times — 56.5%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 10 times — 43.5%

▸Current COTTON market energy: 4.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 16.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 25.58%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H4 · 2026-07-28 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
6.8%
Neutral
4.7%
Neutral
30.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, COTTON in the balanced Market Energy state.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy reading dropped -2.1%, moving from 6.8% to 4.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -46.5 to +74.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 28-07-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.80545, up 0.01% from the previous candle (0.8054). Market Energy was 4.7%, down 2.1 points from 6.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.80545, up 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (0.8054).

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 6.8% to 4.7%.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COTTON at 6.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 4.7%, COTTON is 16.18 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 25.58 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 18.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.8%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Neutral, 4.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 63.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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