Analysis

COTTON 0.83618 ↓0.54%: Bears very strong · 1H 22:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.84073 · High 0.84123 · Low 0.83588 · Close 0.83618 · Range (high − low) 0.00535
COTTON closed at 0.83618, down 0.0045 (-0.54%) from 0.84068.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 43.5% to Bear Critical at -60.5%, down 104.0 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.838230.842080.840680.83618
Energy-57.5%57.6%43.5%-60.5%
Price change↑ 0.07%↑ 0.46%↓ 0.17%↓ 0.54%
Energy change↑ 12.7↑ 115.2↓ 14.1↓ 104.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.07%↑ 0.46%↓ 0.17%↓ 0.54%↑ 12.7↑ 115.2↓ 14.1↓ 104.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.54% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 104.0 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON 1H

Sample: 43,210 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,452 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1,028 times — 70.8%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 424 times — 29.2%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -60.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.48%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.02%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-10-22 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
43.5%
Bull Bias
-60.5%
Bear Critical
-62.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical energy zone determined for COTTON through the 1H candle data.

Per the 2AI model, Market trend energy recorded a -104% drop from the previous candle, from 43.5% to -60.5%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -82.1 to 95.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 22:00 on 22-10-2026, COTTON was at 0.83618, down 0.54% from the previous candle (0.84068). Market Energy was -60.5%, down 104.0 points from 43.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.83618, down 0.54% from the previous 1H candle (0.84068). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,866 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 104 percentage points from the previous candle — from 43.5% to -60.5%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON on record since 2019.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at 43.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.5%, COTTON is 0.48 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 14.02 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -56.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 29.3%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -60.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 84.7%. COTTON (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .