Analysis

COTTON 0.82198 ↓0.36%: Bears have the edge · 1H 19:00 Oct 12, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.82498 · High 0.82523 · Low 0.82178 · Close 0.82198 · Range (high − low) 0.00345
COTTON closed at 0.82198, down 0.00295 (-0.36%) from 0.82493.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -23.8% to Bear Bias at -30.7%, down 6.9 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.819030.821530.824930.82198
Energy-62.1%-55.2%-23.8%-30.7%
Price change↓ 0.78%↑ 0.31%↑ 0.41%↓ 0.36%
Energy change↓ 34.2↑ 6.9↑ 31.5↓ 6.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.78%↑ 0.31%↑ 0.41%↓ 0.36%↓ 34.2↑ 6.9↑ 31.5↓ 6.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.36% — higher than 79% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.9 pts — higher than 47% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COTTON 1H

Sample: 43,208 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 3,231 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Bias:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 2,134 times — 66%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 1,097 times — 34%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -30.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.33%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
-23.8%
Bear Bias
-30.7%
Bear Bias
9.0%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, COTTON within the Bear Bias zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -6.9% this candle, currently -30.7% (previous candle -23.8%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -92 to 85.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 19:00 on 12-10-2026, COTTON was at 0.82198, down 0.36% from the previous candle (0.82493). Market Energy was -30.7%, down 6.9 points from -23.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.82198, down 0.36% from the previous 1H candle (0.82493). This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,719 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -23.8% to -30.7%. This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -23.8%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.7%, COTTON is 9.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.33 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -84.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 19.7%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Bias, -30.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 98%. COTTON (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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