Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.79462 to 0.79237, down 0.28%
Market Energy Neutral 14.0% to Bear Bias -36.2%, down 50.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.06%▲ 0.35%▼ 0.30%▼ 0.28%
Energy▼ 1.6▲ 56.1▼ 14.2▼ 50.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.06%▲ 0.35%▼ 0.30%▼ 0.28%▼ 1.6▲ 56.1▼ 14.2▼ 50.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.28% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 50.3 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,954 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 3,202 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Bias:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 2,112 times — 66%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 1,090 times — 34%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -36.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 15.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 23.76%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-10-02 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
14.0%
Neutral
-36.2%
Bear Bias
Expected at
18:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, COTTON in the Bear Bias zone.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, A -50.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -36.2% (previous: 14%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +78.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.79237, down 0.28% from the previous candle (0.79462). Market Energy was -36.2%, down 50.3 points from 14%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.79237, down 0.28% from the previous 1H candle (0.79462). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,609 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 50.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 14% to -36.2%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at 14%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -36.2%, COTTON is 15.36 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 23.76 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.6%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Bias, -36.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.6%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 24.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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