Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.84097 to 0.84307, up 0.25%
Market Energy Bear Critical -69.2% to Bear Critical -71.1%, down 1.9 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.21%▲ 0.18%▼ 1.15%▲ 0.25%
Energy▼ 13.7▲ 3.7▼ 71.9▼ 1.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.21%▲ 0.18%▼ 1.15%▲ 0.25%▼ 13.7▲ 3.7▼ 71.9▼ 1.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.25% — higher than 67% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.9 pts — higher than 19% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,843 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,432 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1,013 times — 70.7%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 419 times — 29.3%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -71.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.38%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-09-25 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-69.2%
Bear Critical
-71.1%
Bear Critical
Expected at
11:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The near-extreme Bear energy level determined for COTTON through the 1H candle data.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A -1.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -71.1% (previous: -69.2%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +82.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 09:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.84307, up 0.25% from the previous candle (0.84097). Market Energy was -71.1%, down 1.9 points from -69.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.84307, up 0.25% from the previous 1H candle (0.84097). This rise is larger than 67% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,512 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -69.2% to -71.1%. This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -69.2%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.1%, COTTON is 11.12 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.38 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 53.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.6%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -71.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.6%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 75.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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