Analysis

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Price and energy
COTTON from 0.86316 to 0.86166, down 0.17%
Market Energy Neutral -11.2% to Bear Bias -34.4%, down 23.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.69%0.19%0.19%0.17%
Energy59.15.418.423.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.69% 0.19% 0.19% 0.17% 59.1 5.4 18.4 23.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.17% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 23.2 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,718 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 3,178 times

When COTTON is in Bear Bias:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 2,097 times66%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 1,081 times34%

Current COTTON market energy: -34.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.56%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-09-15 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-11.2%
Neutral
-34.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Bear Bias recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for COTTON.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy at -34.4%, down -23.2% from -11.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -94.1 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 14:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.86166, down 0.17% from the previous candle (0.86316). Market Energy was -34.4%, down 23.2 points from -11.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.86166, down 0.17% from the previous 1H candle (0.86316). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,373 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 23.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -11.2% to -34.4%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -11.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.4%, COTTON is 13.56 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.56 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.1%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Bias, -34.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3.4%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 31 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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