Analysis

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Price and energy
COTTON from 0.87925 to 0.8731, down 0.70%
Market Energy Bear Bias -30.1% to Bear Critical -60.6%, down 30.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.15%0.40%0.04%0.70%
Energy0.711.98.230.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.15% 0.40% 0.04% 0.70% 0.7 11.9 8.2 30.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.70% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 30.4 pts — higher than 88% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,769 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,430 times

When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1,011 times70.7%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 419 times29.3%

Current COTTON market energy: -60.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.94%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-09-04 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-30.1%
Bear Bias
-60.6%
Bear Critical
-47.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, Market COTTON in the Bear Critical level.

On the energy side, Market trend energy recorded a -30.4% drop from the previous candle, from -30.1% to -60.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -85.8 to +68.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 14:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.8731, down 0.7% from the previous candle (0.87925). Market Energy was -60.6%, down 30.4 points from -30.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.8731, down 0.7% from the previous 1H candle (0.87925). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,265 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 30.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -30.1% to -60.6%. This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -30.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.6%, COTTON is 0.56 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.94 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -11.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -17.9%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -60.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 9.1%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 69.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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